Friday, February 15, 2008

DO NOT WRITE HILL OBIT JUST YET

WASHINGTON - Hillary Rodham Clinton has hefty double-digit leads in her "firewall" states of Ohio and Pennsylvania, where voters are resisting Barack Obama's wave of momentum after his wins in eight consecutive contests, according to new polls.

Clinton holds a 21-point lead in Ohio and has a 16-point edge in Pennsylvania, the Quinnipiac University surveys show.

Along with Texas, the two states are the biggest prizes left on the map as Clinton and Obama wage a brutal fight for delegates at the party's national convention.

The electoral coalition that delivered big wins to Clinton in California, New York and New Jersey also appears to be holding in Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to the polls.

Ohio women back Clinton by 56 to 30 percent, while men back her 52 to 42. She has a similar lead among Pennsylvania women.

She also has a big lead among Ohio white voters, 64 to 28, though she trails Obama among blacks, 64 to 17.

The shattering of Clinton's coalition of female and white voters in Maryland and Virginia raised the possibility that her campaign might fall apart in the remaining must-win states.

Obama won by beating her among women and lower-income voters, while getting a majority of whites and blacks.

"Ohio is as good a demographic fit for Sen. Clinton as she will find," said Quinnipiac poll director Peter Brown. "If can't make it there, she can't make it anywhere."

When Mayor Bloomberg gets added into the mix, the results are dismal. He got only 6 to 9 percent as an independent in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, drawing some support from presumptive GOP nominee John McCain.

Meanwhile, Clinton amped up her attacks on Obama, casting him as a lightweight whose oratory doesn't amount to much.

"Speeches don't put food on the table. Speeches don't fill up your tank, or fill your prescription, or do anything about that stack of bills that keeps you up at night," she said at a GM auto plant in Lordstown, Ohio.

"Some people may think words are change. You and I know better. Words are cheap. You can't just talk about the special interests. You have to take them on," she said.

Obama spokesman Bill Burton responded, "Barack Obama doesn't need any lectures on special interests from the candidate who's taken more money from Washington lobbyists than any Republican running for president."

Oh they'll eventually count the Florida and Michigan votes. They apportion them somehow and somehow Hillary will just barely squeak by Senator Hussein. After she wins Ohio and Pennsylvania and Texas it'll be clear to the DNC that they DO NOT want someone who can only reel in the smaller states, and for the good of the party the queen will be crowned.

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