Thursday, June 15, 2006

Read It And Weep...

9.9 Million Illegals to Get Amnesty

Report: 1 in 4 Would Be Fraudulent

Under Senate Bill WASHINGTON (June 2006) — Based on the experience of the 1986 amnesty, we expect that nearly 9.9 million illegal aliens will receive amnesty under the recently passed Senate Hagel-Martinez bill.

That is, they will legalize and can apply for permanent residence and citizenship. As in 1986, we also expect that one-fourth, or 2.6 million, will receive amnesty fraudulently. The bill will also allow an estimated 4.5 million family members of illegal aliens currently living abroad to join their legalized relatives for a total of 14.4 million beneficiaries. The new report, “Amnesty Under Hagel-Martinez: An Estimate of How Many Will Legalize if S.2611 Becomes Law,” by the Center’s Director of Research, Steven A. Camarota, will be on line Thursday at: http://www.cis.org/articles/2006/back606.html

Among the findings:

* Based on the 1986 amnesty, we estimate that slightly over 70 percent, or 7.4 million, of the 10.2 million illegals eligible for the three amnesties in Hagel-Martinez will come forward and receive amnesty legitimately. That is, they will gain legal status allowing them to live and work in the United States and eventually apply for permanent residence and citizenship.

* We also estimate that, as in 1986, there will be one fraudulent amnesty for every three legitimate ones (2.6 million) for a total of 9.9 million amnesty beneficiaries.

* In addition to the amnesty beneficiaries, the bill will allow an estimated 4.5 million family members currently living abroad to join their newly legalized relatives for a total of 14.4 million people who will benefit from the bill’s amnesty provisions.

* Our assumption that 70 percent of illegals who will come forward, as in 1986, is conservative because, unlike the last legalization, illegals now know that amnesties are real and not a ruse by the government to deport them. Moreover, increased border enforcement has made illegal crossing more difficult, making legalization a more attractive option.

* Our estimate of 2.6 million fraudulent amnesties, based on 1986, is also conservative because the false document industry is now more developed. Moreover, the immigration bureaucracy already has a severe fraud problem, according to the Government Accountability Office. As its workload mushrooms with amnesty, fraud will become even more difficult to detect.

* Of the 14.4 million illegals and their family members who will receive amnesty, we estimate that 13.5 million will eventually become permanent residents, which means they can stay as long as they wish and apply for citizenship. Deaths and out-migration account for the balance of the 14. 4 million. Among the new report’s other findings:

* The 13.5 million illegal aliens and their family members who are expected to receive permanent residence under the Senate plan is equal to all of the legal immigration that took place between 1990 and 2005, excluding those who were part of the 1986 amnesty.

* The above estimates do not include the bill’s very large increases in future legal immigration, which is expected to double or even triple the number of people who will receive permanent residence from 1 million a year under current law.

* In addition to the amnesty and the increases in future legal immigration, there is also the question of future illegal immigration. A recent Congressional Budget Office report projected that if Hagel-Martinez becomes law nearly 8 million new illegal immigrants would still enter the country by 2016.

For further information, contact Steven Camarota at (202) 466-8185 or sac@cis.org.

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The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent research institute which examines the impact of immigration on the United States.
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And how wonderful is that. Isn't going to happen, thankfully, because the House won't allow this abomination to become reality, but it does of course prove just how far removed from the feelings and wishes of the real America the Senate can be.

Another 14 million or so people without education or skill, and who will refuse to do the simplest of things and learn English. This is CHOICE, we know how PRO liberals are when it comes to choice, and we also know how greatly this pisses the real America off. I personally don't want to have to wade through any offering of "no habla In-Glace", let alone the millions more if and when family's begin arriving, and who may I ask is footing the welfare bill when all is said and done? The cretins in Louisiana bilked the country out of a billion and a half dollars and that will be chump change to what we'll see if the Senate has it's way.

Amnesty is giving in to criminals beause it's just too tiring to capture them all, and a leader with real vision would propose something akin to the public works/road-building feats of the Eisenhower Administration.

This time around, instead of putting hundreds of thousands of men to work paving highways, we could train them to become law enforcement officers specializing in the capture and repatriation of illegal aliens. We need more cops anyway, always will, and through the winnowings of normal attrition in state and local forces, the specialists could then move into such openings as the need for illegal-hunters became less urgent as the unlawful hordes were removed from the country. Do the job, and over time move into other fields.

It'd take a bold and resourceful man to implement such a daunting proposal, and while I give George Bush credit where it is due, this would be something head and shoulders above his station.

The alternative is surrender.

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