"The race is over.
The results are already clear. Obama will go to the Democratic Convention with a lead of between 100 and 200 elected delegates. The remaining question is: What will the superdelegates do then? But is that really a question? Will the leaders of the Democratic Party be complicit in its destruction? Will they really kindle a civil war by denying the nomination to the man who won the most elected delegates? No way. They well understand that to do so would be to throw away the party’s chances of victory and to stigmatize it among African-Americans and young people for the rest of their lives. The Democratic Party took 20 years to recover from the traumas of 1968 and it is not about to trigger a similar bloodletting this year.
John McCain’s nomination guarantees that the superdelegates wouldn’t dare. A perfectly acceptable alternative for most Democrats, McCain would harvest so large a proportion of Obama’s votes if Hillary steals the nomination that he would probably win. Even putting Obama on the ticket would not allay the anger of his supporters; it would just make him complicit in the robbery.
Will Hillary win Pennsylvania? Who cares? Even if she were to sweep the remaining primaries and caucuses by 10 points, she would move just 60 votes closer to Obama’s total of elected delegates. And she won’t sweep them all. Even if Hillary wins Pennsylvania, the largest prize up for grabs, Obama will probably win North Carolina, which is almost as large. He’s likely to win Mississippi and Wyoming and has a good shot in Oregon and Indiana. The most likely result of these coming contests is that Obama will be roughly where he is now, about 140 elected delegates ahead of Hillary.
Suppose that Hillary will carry those states by enough to offset Obama’s delegate lead. The proportional representation system makes a knockout impossible and so mutes relatively narrow victories as to make them almost inconsequential. Little Vermont, with 600,000 people, gave Obama a net gain of four delegates, half of what Hillary won from the Texas primary, a state with 20 million residents. Even after Hillary won big-state victories in Ohio and Texas, she drew only 20 closer to Obama’s total of elected delegates.
Hillary won’t withdraw. That much is for sure. The tantalizing notion that 800 insiders can offset a season of primaries and caucuses will drive both Clintons to ever-escalating rhetoric. Will their attacks hurt Obama? Likely all they will achieve is to give him needed experience in the cut and thrust of media politics.
Left out of the entire equation is poor John McCain. Unable to get a word in edgewise and unsure of which Democrat to attack, he will have to watch from the sidelines as Hillary and Obama hog the headlines. If the superdelegates deliver the nomination to Hillary in the dead of night without leaving fingerprints at the crime scene, McCain’s nomination will be worth having. If Obama prevails, it won’t be worth the paper on which it is written. The giant killer, Obama will have soared to new heights of popularity and McCain won’t be able to bring him back to Earth in the nine weeks that will remain.
Couple months back, Lil Dickie was promoting an inevitable Clinton massacre of all opponents, but lo and behold someone else has taken his heart and that someone is Obo .
While most are saying that the democrat fight does nothing but GOOD for Senator McCain, Lil Dickie believes that Obo will arise from the Clinton battle as an untouched, unsullied, unbroken juggernaut, ready to pulverize the old man after having taken down the old lady.
This, you see, is because Lil Dickie has found another man to fall in love with. Well, man is a bad way to describe the likes of Bill Clinton...Lil Dickie's first true love...or even Obo Hussein for that matter, but what rocks Lil Dickie's boat are powerful socialists and if Obo defeats that evil woman who turned Bill against him then he will be THE most powerful democratic alive and worthy of Dickie's praise.
When Obo goes against McCain, it won't be just cranky old Johnny Boy he'll be battling, but the Republican machine as well, and regardless of what Lil Dickie believes, this machine will by then be fully aware of precisely what it was that kept Hillary alive and well in the race. They'll hammer home all of Obo's weaknesses, and unlike poor old Hillary, won't be averse to using words like liberal and socialist to describe the Obo Express.
Johnny Rotten will have nowhere near the problem he'd face if forced to battle the Hill-The-Beast, but in finding himself against a masculine foe can pummel at will. If it took ALL of Obo's strength to defeat an old woman whose only portfolio was a wedding album featuring a former President, how in all that is holy will he be capable of toppling someone who isn't just another liberal with the exact same agenda?
There will be demonstrable differences between Obo and The Manchurian Candidate. Nothing but lies and innuendo of course as Johnny continues his program of remaking himself in Reagan's image, but the Yellowstream Media won't care as long as it creates ratings. And since nothing makes the yokels tune in more than an old fashioned donnybrook the stage is set for one liberal in disguise against another liberal touting one side of his lineage.
BUT...
When all is said and done here's the Skankles in the woodpile:
Hillary was promised the Presidency. Sure, the situation has become more complicated, but the bottom line remains that the super-delegates were forsworn to be her rubber stamp if necessary. And forget this nonsense about any 'destruction of the democrat party.'
Their job is to pick the one they think can win, while keeping in mind that it is Hillary's turn. If they didn't believe she could beat all Republican comers then she never would have gotten this far in the first place. Dick has conveniently forgotten what the democrat party is all about, now hasn't he.
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